Nearly 28 percent of federal prime-contract dollars went to small businesses in fiscal year 2025. That works out to approximately $179 billion in direct awards and nearly $273 billion when small-business subcontracting is included.
Those are substantial numbers. They confirm that small businesses remain essential to the federal supply chain, from construction and professional services to information technology, research, manufacturing and defense.
They do not, however, mean that 28 percent of the opportunities at every agency are realistically available to your company.
That distinction matters because government-wide statistics are useful for understanding the size of the federal market, but they are not a targeting strategy. Contractors win by finding the specific agencies, buying offices, socioeconomic gaps and upcoming requirements where their capabilities align with an actual acquisition path.
First, a Clarification About the “Record” Headline
The FY2025 results are impressive, but the prime-contracting total was not a new dollar record. SBA reported more than $183 billion in small-business prime contracts for FY2024, representing 28.8 percent of eligible federal contracting dollars. For FY2025, the reported figures declined to approximately $179 billion and nearly 28 percent. The combined FY2025 total, including subcontracting, approached $273 billion.
That does not weaken the importance of the scorecard. It makes careful interpretation even more important.
A contractor reading only the latest percentage might conclude that the small-business market expanded. In reality, the percentage and the dollar total can move in different directions because the federal goaling base changes from year to year. Certain contracting actions are also excluded from that base, including some statutory-source acquisitions, nonappropriated fund purchases and contracts performed on behalf of foreign governments.
The percentage is a performance measure, not a complete picture of addressable market demand.
The 28 Percent Is Not Evenly Distributed
The government-wide statutory small-business prime-contracting goal remains 23 percent. Individual agencies, however, do not all operate under a 23 percent target.
SBA negotiates separate goals with each agency based on its mission, purchasing patterns and expected ability to use small businesses. In FY2025, prime small-business goals ranged from 14.5 percent at the U.S. Agency for International Development to 72 percent at SBA itself. The Department of Defense had a 23.17 percent goal, while the Department of Agriculture had a 58 percent goal and the Department of the Interior had a 50.61 percent goal.
This means two agencies can award the same percentage to small businesses and still receive very different assessments.
It also means an agency exceeding its overall small-business goal may still be underperforming in a category that matters to you. A department might do well with general small-business awards while missing its HUBZone, Women-Owned Small Business or Service-Disabled Veteran-Owned Small Business target. Another may meet its prime-contracting goals but struggle with subcontracting participation.
The government-wide number smooths out those differences. Your capture plan should expose them.
An Agency’s Grade Does Not Tell the Whole Story Either
SBA awarded the federal government an overall A for FY2025. Three agencies received A+ grades: the General Services Administration, Department of Housing and Urban Development and Department of Commerce. Thirteen additional agencies received an A.
Those grades are useful, but they are composite scores. Prime-contracting achievement accounts for 50 percent of an agency’s grade. Subcontracting achievement accounts for 20 percent. Changes in the number of small-business prime contractors account for 10 percent, and an assessment of the agency’s Office of Small and Disadvantaged Business Utilization accounts for the remaining 20 percent.
An agency can therefore receive a respectable overall grade while leaving meaningful gaps in an individual socioeconomic category. Conversely, an agency that narrowly meets its overall goal may still offer a strong pipeline in your industry because of an upcoming recompete, new program or active effort to diversify its vendor base.
Treat the letter grade as the beginning of the analysis, not the conclusion.
Socioeconomic Performance Creates More Specific Signals
The FY2025 government-wide results also show why contractors should look below the overall small-business percentage.
Small Disadvantaged Businesses received approximately $75.3 billion, or 11.6 percent of prime-contract dollars. Service-Disabled Veteran-Owned Small Businesses received approximately $32.5 billion, exceeding the government-wide 5 percent target. Meanwhile, 8(a) firms received approximately $24.3 billion, or 3.7 percent of prime-contract dollars, a decrease of $1.5 billion from FY2024.
These figures reflect different programs, eligibility rules and acquisition approaches. They should not be treated as interchangeable.
A certified SDVOSB should examine which agencies missed or narrowly achieved their SDVOSB goals, but certification alone is not enough to make an agency attractive. The company still needs to determine whether that agency buys its services, which contracting offices control the relevant requirements, whether set-aside authority is being used and how incumbents are positioned.
The same principle applies to WOSBs, HUBZone firms and 8(a) participants. A socioeconomic gap is a useful signal only when it intersects with spend, timing and capability.
Prime and Subcontracting Opportunities Require Different Strategies
The difference between the FY2025 prime-contracting total and the combined prime and subcontracting figure is roughly $94 billion, although both SBA figures are rounded.
That subcontracting market deserves attention, especially at agencies where major requirements are routinely consolidated into large vehicles or awarded to other-than-small prime contractors. Large federal primes with qualifying contracts must establish subcontracting plans that include goals for several small-business categories. SBA also maintains a directory of federal prime contractors with subcontracting plans and recommends researching each prime’s supplier process, relevant NAICS codes, contract history and performance locations.
The practical question is not simply, “Does this agency award money to small businesses?”
It is, “Does this agency buy what we sell through a channel we can access?”
For one requirement, the best route may be a direct small-business set-aside. For another, it may be a teaming arrangement, mentor-protégé joint venture or subcontract under an established IDIQ holder. Pursuing the wrong channel can waste months even when the underlying agency demand is real.
How to Turn the Scorecard Into a Targeting Tool
Start by building an agency gap matrix. For each realistic target agency, compare its FY2025 goals and achievements across overall small business, SDB, WOSB, SDVOSB and HUBZone categories. Flag agencies that missed a relevant goal or finished within a narrow margin of it.
Then add the factors that determine whether the gap is actionable:
Historical spend: Review obligations by NAICS code, product or service code, contracting office and vendor.
Future demand: Identify expiring contracts, procurement forecasts, sources-sought notices, industry days and planned recompetes.
Acquisition strategy: Determine whether the work is likely to move through a set-aside, GSA Schedule, government-wide acquisition contract, agency IDIQ, blanket purchase agreement or large-business prime.
Competitive position: Evaluate incumbents, likely bidders, contract vehicles, past-performance requirements and whether the agency has recently added new small-business vendors.
A simple prioritization model can help:
Opportunity priority = goal gap × relevant spend × timing × competitive fit
The model does not need complicated mathematics. Its purpose is to keep a large percentage from distracting you from a small number of winnable accounts.
Consider a WOSB cybersecurity firm evaluating an agency that missed its WOSB goal. That sounds promising until the company discovers that most of the agency’s WOSB spending is in administrative support and facilities services, while cybersecurity work is concentrated on a vehicle the firm cannot access.
Now compare that with an agency that narrowly met its WOSB goal but has a cybersecurity recompete approaching, recently issued a sources-sought notice and is conducting market research for qualified small businesses. The second agency may be the better target, even though its scorecard looks stronger.
A Missed Goal Is an Opening, Not a Promise
Agencies do not automatically issue set-asides because they missed a scorecard target. Contracting officers still must consider market research, acquisition history, competition, capability, pricing and applicable small-business rules.
The advantage is informational. When an agency needs to improve performance in a category and you can demonstrate credible capability against an upcoming requirement, your outreach becomes relevant to the agency’s problem.
That is a much stronger position than sending a generic capabilities statement that says you would “love the opportunity to support the mission.” Federal buyers have received that email before. Probably before lunch.
Use the scorecard to identify pressure points, then connect those points to real requirements and specific buying offices.
The FY2025 headline confirms that the federal government continues to spend heavily with small businesses. The companies that benefit most will not be those that celebrate the 28 percent figure. They will be the ones that determine where the next dollar is likely to move and position themselves before the solicitation arrives.
FedBiz365 helps contractors move beyond government-wide headlines by analyzing agency spending, competitors, expiring contracts and procurement activity in one market-intelligence environment. Request a FedBiz365 demo from FedBiz Access and turn the FY2025 scorecard into a focused federal growth strategy.
Have questions or need help winning in today’s evolving government marketplace? Call us now: 844-628-8914
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Thank you, Mya, for your outstanding work and commitment to our success. We look forward to working with you again in the future.
— Professor Al Hogan
Owner, Team Randori Martial Arts
Retired U.S. Army CW4 | Veteran-Owned Business Owner
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https://i0.wp.com/fedbizaccess.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/28-percent-sba-goals.jpg?fit=1344%2C896&quality=89&ssl=18961344fedbizadminhttps://fedbizaccess.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/fedbizaccess-website-logo.pngfedbizadmin2026-07-20 19:40:352026-07-20 19:40:39Small Businesses Won 28% of Federal Prime Dollars. Here Is What That Number Does Not Tell You
